Albert, the beltway is constraining your vision a bit. No one working in or living in the DC bubble has ever quite figured Trump out. Here in the heartland, we are not the refined sophisticated dwellers in the Capital District, we are the coalminers, the cattle farmers and ranchers, the oil roughnecks, the loggers of the outlying and until now and hopefully ending subservient sacrifices whose struggles are caricatured in Hollywood, whose lives are cheaply spent, not in arenas for the amusement of the Capital District elites, but in distant lands for the profit of the Congressional-Military-Foreign Affairs-Industrial Complex. For far too long the Capital District has provided us two non-choices who profess their love for us, while we're just country enough to sense the 'rotten milk' they're serving up. Trump for all his faults genuinely loves us and we know it. He seems to be playing a role to those in the Capital District because everyone with any power is playing a role there. But we sense, that despite the image the District media wants us to see, that Trump's image is not crafted, it emerges from him as Michelangelo's marble statues emerged as if they had always been there, inside the marble waiting to emerge. Trump, though born wealthy in the financial hub of the Capital District, is really one of us, he loves us not for our money or our blood or our entertainment value -- but us as people. I guess I've got just enough education to be a bit put off by him, but my friends and neighbors hold a love, respect, and admiration for him that is deep. We are tired of being gaslighted and lied to, swindled and bribed. We in the heartland are a lot tougher and more forgiving than the effete elites -- Trump is a lot like us, his invitation to Megyn Kelly and her ringing endorsement of him in Pittsburgh is the proof of that. She was one of his sharpest critics, now she stands beside him. I think, if the election is even only marginally honest, the elites will be shocked. And if it isn't at least marginally honest (who in their right mind votes against voter ID?), then the elites win and the heartland loses. I won't have to do much convincing of my rural and small town friends that the Republic and the Constitution is dead, we will all know we've been living "Weekend at 'Connies'" with a corpse and I do not want to see what happens when 80-90 Million Americans in the heartland say enough.
It all comes down to Trump's historic over performance with the polls. At this point a Trump victory seems likely because Harris is not four points ahead. However, if people are getting tired of him, and more of his older supporters have died out, and his weakening of the pro-life plank catches up with him, he is in trouble. A lot of ifs there I know. But Trump has never won a plurality, and trying to game the Electoral College is risky because it is rare that it doesn't match the popular vote. Since 1965 it has happen only twice out of 14 election. So 1/7 chance. So back to my first point, if I was the Democrats I would be nervous because of the 4pt track record in 2016 and 2020. But if he loses I think it is go-away heat.
Albert, the beltway is constraining your vision a bit. No one working in or living in the DC bubble has ever quite figured Trump out. Here in the heartland, we are not the refined sophisticated dwellers in the Capital District, we are the coalminers, the cattle farmers and ranchers, the oil roughnecks, the loggers of the outlying and until now and hopefully ending subservient sacrifices whose struggles are caricatured in Hollywood, whose lives are cheaply spent, not in arenas for the amusement of the Capital District elites, but in distant lands for the profit of the Congressional-Military-Foreign Affairs-Industrial Complex. For far too long the Capital District has provided us two non-choices who profess their love for us, while we're just country enough to sense the 'rotten milk' they're serving up. Trump for all his faults genuinely loves us and we know it. He seems to be playing a role to those in the Capital District because everyone with any power is playing a role there. But we sense, that despite the image the District media wants us to see, that Trump's image is not crafted, it emerges from him as Michelangelo's marble statues emerged as if they had always been there, inside the marble waiting to emerge. Trump, though born wealthy in the financial hub of the Capital District, is really one of us, he loves us not for our money or our blood or our entertainment value -- but us as people. I guess I've got just enough education to be a bit put off by him, but my friends and neighbors hold a love, respect, and admiration for him that is deep. We are tired of being gaslighted and lied to, swindled and bribed. We in the heartland are a lot tougher and more forgiving than the effete elites -- Trump is a lot like us, his invitation to Megyn Kelly and her ringing endorsement of him in Pittsburgh is the proof of that. She was one of his sharpest critics, now she stands beside him. I think, if the election is even only marginally honest, the elites will be shocked. And if it isn't at least marginally honest (who in their right mind votes against voter ID?), then the elites win and the heartland loses. I won't have to do much convincing of my rural and small town friends that the Republic and the Constitution is dead, we will all know we've been living "Weekend at 'Connies'" with a corpse and I do not want to see what happens when 80-90 Million Americans in the heartland say enough.
It all comes down to Trump's historic over performance with the polls. At this point a Trump victory seems likely because Harris is not four points ahead. However, if people are getting tired of him, and more of his older supporters have died out, and his weakening of the pro-life plank catches up with him, he is in trouble. A lot of ifs there I know. But Trump has never won a plurality, and trying to game the Electoral College is risky because it is rare that it doesn't match the popular vote. Since 1965 it has happen only twice out of 14 election. So 1/7 chance. So back to my first point, if I was the Democrats I would be nervous because of the 4pt track record in 2016 and 2020. But if he loses I think it is go-away heat.